RIM PRODUCTS INTELLIGENCE DAILY
No.4409
October 19, 2004
Copyright (c) 2004 RIM Intelligence Co. All rights
reserved.
--Tokyo, 20:00 JST 19Oct2004
JAPAN DOMESTIC WATERBORNE SPOT MARKET (Barges FOB
Refinery/Primary Storage, in Yen/kl)
Tokyo Bay (Keihin/Chiba) West Japan (Hanshin/Setouchi)
Fixed Price
Floating Fixed
Price
Floating
Gasoline*
92,500-93,500
-200/0
92,300-92,800 -200/0
Kerosene
42,500-43,500 0/+300 41,300-41,700 0/+400
Gasoil-0.005%S 40,000-40,500 0/+300 +40,200-41,000 0/+300
AFO-1.0%S
+34,000-34,400+
0/+200
+34,300-34,700+
0/+200
AFO-0.1%S
36,500-36,800 0/+200 36,300-36,700 0/+200
LSCFO-0.3%S
33,500-34,000 0/+100 33,000-33,500 0/+100
HSCFO-3.0%S
27,200-27,900
-100/+200 27,100-27,900 -100/+200
--MOF CIF
Japan Crude: Aug 1-31 Yen 26,109/kl(HS-code basis,
provisional)
Sep
1-10 Yen 27,542/kl, Sep 11-20 Yen 28,610/kl, Sep 1-20 Yen 28,087/kl
*including Yen 53,800 tax
Floating price
assessments in premiums or discounts against RIM monthly average
JAPAN PRODUCT PAPER SWAP ASSESSMENTS (FOB Tokyo Bay in
Yen/kl)
Nov
Dec
Jan
Gasoline* 95,600-96,000 96,200-96,500 -96,900-97,300-
Kerosene -46,400-46,600-
-48,000-48,300- -48,100-48,400-
Gasoil
+43,700-44,000+ -42,700-43,000- -43,100-43,400-
AFO-1.0%S
+35,500-35,900+ +35,600-36,000+ +35,700-36,100+
AFO-0.1%S
+36,900-37,400+ +37,000-37,500+ +37,100-37,500+
LSCFO +35,100-35,500+
+35,600-36,000+ +35,500-35,800+
HSCFO +26,300-26,700+
+26,800-27,200+ +26,700-27,000+
*including Yen
53,800 tax
TOCOM ENERGY FUTURES (FOB Tokyo Bay Refinery/Primary
Storage in Yen/kl)
Open
High Low Settle Change Volume
Gasoline
Nov
41,050 42,110 40,950 42,000
0 375
Dec
41,610 42,730 41,580 42,610
0
1,030
Jan
42,350 43,470 42,340 43,310 -310 2,198
Feb
43,080 44,230 43,080 43,910 -520 9,577
Mar
43,940 45,090 43,940 44,470 -820 24,281
Apr
45,050 46,270 45,050 45,520 -880 73,748
Total
111,209
Kerosene
Nov
45,950 46,650 45,890 46,550 -260 312
Dec
47,550 48,350 47,550 48,310 -440 630
Jan
47,510 48,460 47,510 48,430 -380 1,885
Feb
46,700 47,850 46,690 47,490 -510 4,129
Mar
44,880 45,890 44,880 45,650 -580 16,536
Apr
42,450 43,460 42,450 43,400 -400 39,580
Total
63,072
Gasoil
Nov
42,950 43,830 42,950 43,830 +490
6
Dec
42,730 42,990 42,730 42,870 -700
11
Jan
43,030 43,270 43,030 43,270 -640
19
Feb
42,500 42,800 42,500 42,740 -660
56
Mar
42,420 42,770 42,410 42,660 -650 202
Apr
43,110 43,530 43,050 43,520 -430 1,022
Total
1,316
In contracts
of 100 kiloliters
Open interest(10/19): Gasoline116,028, Kerosene 95,277, Gasoil 1,740
TOCOM TAPIX
Crude Index (standard) $/bbl 44.38(-0.66), Yen/kl
30,820(-420)
CFR JAPAN MR CARGOES (Naphtha and HSFO in $/mt, Others in $/bbl)
-Yen/kl- -Premium-
Naphtha
- 455.75-457.50 -
35,275 -3.50/-2.25
Dec
1st-half -
453.50-454.00 -
Dec
2nd-half -
455.75-456.25 -
Jan
1st-half -
457.00-457.50 -
Jet/Kerosene - 63.05- 63.25
- 43,860 2.00/ 2.20
Gasoil 0.005%S - 60.75- 61.25
- 42,637 3.90/ 4.40
LSWR
0.2%S
- 44.55-
44.65 -
30,977 4.50/
4.80*
FO 180cst
3.5%S -
225.50-226.50 -
23,957
--Exchange
rate (TTS Yen/$ as of Oct 19) 110.42
*Premium to Pertamina Formula
FOB SINGAPORE CARGOES (FO in $/mt,
Others in $/bbl)
-Physical-
-Premium-
Mogas 97RON - 55.30- 55.40
- 7.90/
8.00*
95RON - 53.50- 53.60
- 6.10/
6.20*
92RON - 52.40- 52.50
- 5.00/
5.10*
Naphtha
- 47.15-
47.25 - -0.25/-0.15
Jet/Kerosene - 60.55- 60.65
- -0.50/-0.40
Gasoil 0.05%S - 57.15- 57.25
- 0.30/
0.40
Gasoil 0.5%S - 56.00- 56.10
- -0.85/-0.75
FO 180cst
2.0%S - 212.00-213.00
-
FO 180cst
3.5%S - 206.50-207.50
- -0.50/ 0.50
FO 380cst
3.5%S - 197.00-198.00
-
*Premium to
Naphtha
FOB INDONESIA MIXED/CRACKED LSWR CARGOES
-Physical-
-Premium-
LSWR Mxd/Crkd 0.2%S - 40.95-41.05 -
0.90/ 1.20*
Expected
PPF
- 39.90-40.00 -
*Premium to Pertamina Price Formula
REMARK: As of
Feb 03, 2003, "LSWR-CRKD 0.2%S" price assessment under
the heading of "FOB SINGAPORE CARGOES" has been
renamed as "LSWR Mxd/Crkd 0.2%S"
and moved to a new section of the Products Report under the
heading of
"FOB
INDONESIA MIXED/CRACKED LSWR CARGOES"
SINGAPORE PAPER SWAPS (FO in $/mt,
Others in $/bbl)
Nov
Dec
Jan
Naphtha
- 47.35-
47.45 - - 47.40- 47.50 - -
47.15- 47.25 -
Jet
- 61.00-
61.10 - - 61.55- 61.65 - -
61.30- 61.40 -
Regrade
- 4.15/ 4.25 - - 4.20/ 4.30 - - 4.25/ 4.35 -
Gasoil 0.5%S - 56.80- 56.90
- - 57.30- 57.40 - -
57.00- 57.10 -
FO 180cst
3.5%S - 206.75-207.25 - -
206.50-207.00 - - 206.25-206.75 -
FOB SOUTH KOREA CARGOES (FO in $/mt,
Others in $/bbl)
MR
Cargoes
-Premium-
Jet/Kerosene - 62.20- 62.30 - 1.15/ 1.25
Gasoil 0.05%S - 57.85- 57.95 - 1.00/ 1.10
Gasoil 0.5%S - 56.15- 56.25 - -0.70/ -0.60
FO 180cst
3.5%S - 214.50- 215.50
- 7.50/ 8.50
LSFO
0.3%S
+ 259.50- 264.50 +
52.50/ 57.50
MSFO 1.5%S
- 219.50- 220.50 -
12.50/ 13.50
SR
Cargoes
-Premium-
CFR Japan Parity#
Mogas 91RON - 55.90- 56.40 - 8.50/ 9.00* 97,058
Kerosene
- 63.55- 63.75 - 2.50/ 2.70 47,645
Gasoil 0.005%S - 59.85- 60.35 - 3.00/ 3.50 45,872
AFO
- 57.35- 57.55 - 0.50/ 0.70** 40,735
LSAFO
- 57.85- 58.05 - 1.00/ 1.20** 41,082
LSFO
0.3%S
+ 261.50- 266.50 +
54.50/ 59.50
MSFO
1.5%S
- 221.50- 222.50 -
14.50/ 15.50
*Premium to
FOB Singapore naphtha
**Premium to
FOB Singapore gasoil 0.5%S
# in Yen/kl, Basis Nagoya
SR Clean Tanker Freight Rates($/bbl)
Korea to Tomakomai 1.70-1.90 Korea to Keihin 1.40-1.60
Korea to
Nagoya
1.10-1.30 Korea
to Kanmon 0.90-1.10
FOB TAIWAN CARGOES (in $/bbl)
MR
Cargoes
-Premium-
Gasoil 0.05%S - 57.60- 57.70 - 0.75/ 0.85
Gasoil 0.5%S - 56.65- 56.75 - -0.20/ -0.10
SR
Cargoes
-Premium-
Kerosene
- 62.75- 62.85 - 1.70/ 1.80
Gasoil 0.05%S - 57.95- 58.05 - 1.10/ 1.20
FOB ARABIAN GULF CARGOES (Naphtha and HSFO in $/mt, Others in $/bbl)
-Premium-
Naphtha
- 411.25- 412.25 -
11.00/ 13.00
Kerosene
- 58.60- 58.70 - 0.95/ 1.05
Gasoil 0.5%S - 54.05- 54.15 - 1.20/ 1.30
FO 180cst
3.5%S - 190.50- 191.50
-
ASIA BUNKER PRICES ($/mt on a
delivered basis)
180cst
280cst
380cst
MDO
Japan*
Tokyo
Bay* 241.00-242.00 239.00-240.00 237.00-238.00 400.00-410.00
West
Japan* 241.00-242.00 239.00-240.00 237.00-238.00 400.00-410.00
Ise Bay*
248.00-249.00
246.00-247.00
244.00-245.00
420.00-430.00
--#Contract-SEP 216.90
214.90
212.90
372.00
S. Korea* -250.00-252.00-
-241.00-243.00- -230.00-232.00- 440.00-445.00
Taiwan*
247.00-255.00
247.00-255.00 445.00-445.00
China
Dalian
251.00-252.00
-
-
465.00-470.00***
Shanghai
251.00-252.00
-
243.00-244.00
475.00-480.00***
Qingdao
251.00-252.00
-
243.00-244.00
475.00-480.00***
Hong Kong* 244.00-246.00 242.00-244.00 239.00-241.00 415.00-425.00
Singapore* -209.00-213.00-
-205.00-208.00- -199.00-202.00- -420.00-425.00-
Bangkok*
+220.00-222.00+
-
-
-455.00-465.00-
--Note: *Delivered, **MGO, ***LDO,
#agreed price between Nippon Oil Co. and NYK Line
ASIA PRODUCTS MARKET COMMENTARY
GASOLINE:
FOB
Singapore prices for 92RON gasoline tumbled on Tuesday, following a loss in
naphtha paper swaps values. The November naphtha swaps contract was valued at
$47.40/bbl, down $1.80/bbl from Monday. Buying and selling ideas in 92RON
gasoline for the loading period between Nov 8-23 were
indicated at premiums in the range of $5.00-5.10/bbl FOB Singapore over spot
naphtha quotations, flat from Monday. Market players pointed out that higher
freight rates and tight vessel supplies continued to prevent Singapore barrels
from going to the US West Coast. Despite this closed arbitrage window, many
market players expected gasoline's supply-demand fundamentals would be balanced
in the near term, with Australia and New Zealand entering into the peak summer
driving demand season. The differentials expressed in buying and selling
interest for 92RON gasoline would translate into a fixed price of
$52.40-52.50/bbl, down $1.80/bbl from Monday, based on the value of Singapore
paper swaps that were available as of 6:30 PM Tokyo time on Tuesday.
China's
Dalian West Pacific Petrochemical Co, or Wepec, sold one MR-size spot cargo of 92RON gasoline for
loading in mid November. This was the second cargo that Wepec
committed to export in November. The concluded price was on an FOB Dalian basis at near flat to FOB Singapore quotations
(92RON). Besides the deal, Wepec left unsold one or
two more MR-size spot cargoes of gasoline for November.
NAPHTHA:
The
Asian open-spec naphtha price dived on Tuesday, down $20.00/mt versus the
previous day to the range of $455.75-457.50/mt CFR Japan, mainly due to a
similar dive in the crude oil price and losses in the NWE naphtha price. Also
bearish to the market was continued glut in prompt naphtha delivery in the
Asian market. As of 8:00 PM in Tokyo on Tuesday, Nov Brent crude futures
contract was down $1.39/bbl to $47.92/bbl from the same time on Monday. The CFR
Japan naphtha values for H1 Dec were talked in the range of $453.50-454.00/mt,
while the values for H2 Dec were in the range of $455.75-456.25/mt. The values
for H1 Jan were, meantime, in the range of $457.00-457.50/mt. The crack spread
between Dec Brent futures and the CFR Japan naphtha values for H1 Dec narrowed
$11.00/nt to $94.00/mt.
In the
open-trade trade, one deal was reported at $456.00/mt for H2 Dec arrival. In
the spread trade, the H1/2 Dec contract traded at minus $2.00/mt.
No
deals were done in the physical market. Most of end-users in Asia deferred
purchase on the prediction for a further widening of the range of discounts for
spot naphtha cargoes due to the easing fundamentals. Behind the slacken
fundamentals for naphtha were increased naphtha production in Japan and South
Korea and the emerging glut in prompt naphtha delivery in the Middle East. It
was reported in the spot trade for cargoes to arrive between H2 Nov and H1 Dec
that discounts for CFR Japan open-grade naphtha widened to around $4.50/mt.
In the
Middle East, several traders reportedly became active in offering FOB Ras Tanura A-310 (S/N) in the spot
trade. "Cargoes currently being offered are four to five in total and all
of them are scheduled to be loaded in the first half of November," Japan's
leading trading house reported. A slump in sales of naphtha FOB Middle East
followed the rising freight rates and a succeeding close of the arbitrage
window for cargoes from the Middle East to the NWE market.
Prices
for CFR North East Asia ethylene cargoes were in the range of $990-1,030/mt,
shedding $20.00/mt from Monday. The market remained weak due to the prediction
for a further easing of the fundamentals. Some traders increased volume of
Iranian ethylene brought to the Asian market, thereby further weakening the
fundamentals.
As of
8:00 PM in Tokyo on Tuesday, Northwest Europe Nov naphtha swaps were talked in
the range of $454.00-456.00/mt CIF Rotterdam, shedding as much as $20.00/mt
from the same time on Monday. The dive in gasoline futures in both Europe and
the US pushed lower the naphtha price in the regions. The Dec swaps were
discussed in the range of $452.50-454.00/mt, while the Jan swaps were in the
range of $451.00-453.00/mt. The H2 Nov Asia/Oct NWE spread showed the latter
$1.25/mt higher than the former.
JET/KEROSENE:
FOB
Singapore prices for jet fuel/kerosene fell on Tuesday, pushed down by a steep
loss in paper swaps values. The November swaps contract was valued at
$61.05/bbl, down $2.30/bbl from Monday. Buying and selling ideas for the
loading period between Nov 8-23 were indicated at
discounts in the range of 40-50cts/bbl FOB Singapore from spot quotations,
unchanged from Monday. Market players kept keenly watching for arbitrage
opportunities to send jet fuel cargoes to the US West Coast as well as the
demand for this coming winter on Tuesday. "Winter
demand is a wild card, on which the jet fuel market heavily depends," a
trader said. The differentials expressed in bids and offers for jet
fuel/kerosene would translate into a fixed price of $60.55-60.65/bbl, down
$2.30/bbl from Monday, based on the value of Singapore paper swaps that were
available as of 6:30 PM Tokyo time on Tuesday.
FOB
South Korea prices for SR-size cargoes of kerosene plummeted on Tuesday,
tracking a steep fall in Singapore paper swaps values. Buying and selling ideas
were indicated at premiums in the range of $2.50-2.70/bbl FOB South Korea over
FOB Singapore quotations, unchanged from Monday. Japanese buyers began checking
kerosene availability for loading in H2 November off South Korea, on
expectations that domestic prices would catch up with the import cost in the
near term. "Japanese buyers have been waiting long enough with this low
domestic inventory," an industry source in Seoul said. "Japan will
likely rush to import kerosene once the margins on a resale into the domestic
market turn into positive territory." Meanwhile, Incheon
Oil Refining Co eyed exporting several SR-size spot cargoes of kerosene to
Japan for loading between late November and December. "We will be flexible
on loading timings depending on buyers' requirements or market
conditions," a source at Incheon said. The
differentials expressed in bids and offers for loading between
Nov 8-23 would translate into a fixed price of $63.55-63.75/bbl, down
$2.30/bbl from Monday, based on the value of Singapore paper swaps for November
as of Tuesday.
Japanese
oil refiners' jet fuel imports to be delivered in November reached 100,000kl,
according to a survey conducted by RIM on Tuesday. Behind this move lies the
supply shortage of jet fuel, as the refiners strain to produce more kerosene
ahead of the peak winter demand season, thus reducing jet fuel production. Idemitsu Kosan Co plans to import one MR-size cargo of jet
fuel from an oil major in Singapore on a semi-term
contact basis starting from November every month. Meanwhile, Cosmo Oil Co was
poised to buy 30,000kl of jet fuel from Kuwait Petroleum Co, or KPC, on an
annual term contract basis during this winter starting November. Nippon Oil
Corp was poised to import 30,000kl for November delivery, following 40,000kl
for October.
Hong
Kong's China Resources Co, or CRC, was poised to import three MR-size cargoes
of jet fuel for delivery in November. Among these three cargoes, the firm
already bought one cargo on an annual term contract basis and would buy two
spot cargoes. "We have yet to start negotiations about these two spot
cargoes for November," a source at CRC said. The firm earlier bought from
Singapore three MR-size cargoes for October, or one as term contract and two as
spot buying. Market players believed these two spot cargoes were concluded at a
premium of around $1.10/bbl CFR Hong Kong over FOB Singapore quotations. CRC
imports jet fuel oil largely to make delivery for Cathay Pacific Airways.
GASOIL:
FOB
Singapore prices for 0.5%S gasoil lost ground on
Tuesday, mirroring a sharp loss in paper swaps values together with an increase
in spot discounts. The November swaps contract was valued at $56.85/bbl, down
$2.20/bbl from Monday. Buying and selling ideas for the loading period between Nov 8-23 were indicated at discounts in the range of
75-85cts/bbl FOB Singapore from spot quotations, down 15cts/bbl from Monday.
The increase in spot discounts came in line with the oversupply outlook in Asia
and poor demand from South East Asia. As if to prove these looser supply-demand
fundamentals, gasoil remained well offered on
Tuesday, with four sellers showing up against no bidder. The differentials
expressed in bids and offers for 0.5%S gasoil would
translate into a fixed price of $56.00-56.10/bbl, down $2.35/bbl from Monday,
based on the value of Singapore paper swaps that were available as of 6:30 PM
Tokyo time on Tuesday.
FOB
South Korea prices for MR-size cargoes of 0.5% sulfur gasoil
dived on Tuesday, in line with the weakness in Singapore paper swaps values.
Buying and selling ideas were indicated at discounts in the range of
60-70cts/bbl FOB South Korea from FOB Singapore quotations, unchanged from
Monday. Asian end-users left bids for 0.5% sulfur gasoil
at steep discounts on an FOB South Korea basis, expecting ample supply
sentiment would persist in the near term. SK Corp sold one MR-size spot cargo
of 0.5% sulfur gasoil for loading in H1 November. The
concluded price was heard at a discount of around 70cts/bbl FOB South Korea.
Market players expected the cargo would be destined to South East Asia. Besides
the deal, a combined eight or nine MR-size cargoes of 0.5% sulfur gasoil were left unsold for November loading off South
Korea. The differentials expressed in bids and offers for 0.5%S gasoil to be loaded between Nov 13-28
would translate into a fixed price of $56.15-56.25/bbl, down $2.20/bbl from
Monday, based on the value of Singapore paper swaps for November as of Tuesday.
FOB
Taiwan prices for MR-size cargoes of 0.5% sulfur gasoil
fell sharply on Tuesday, tracking a loss in Singapore paper swaps values
combined with an increase in spot discounts. Buying and selling ideas were
indicated at discounts in the range of 10-20cts/bbl FOB Taiwan from FOB Singapore
quotations, down 20cts/bbl from Monday. The increase in spot discounts came in
line with sluggish demand from South East Asia. Chinese Petroleum Corp, or CPC,
remained in the process of concluding its latest gasoil
sell tender for November loading on Tuesday. Through the tender, CPC sought to
sell one or two MR-size cargoes of 0.5% or 0.05% or 0.2% sulfur gasoil for loading in November off Kaohsiung.
Meanwhile, Formosa Petrochemical Corp, or FPC, would likely export one MR-size
spot cargo of 0.05% sulfur gasoil for November. The
differentials expressed in bids and offers for 0.5%S gasoil
to be loaded between Nov 13-28 would translate into a
fixed price of $56.65-56.75/bbl, down $2.40/bbl from Monday, based on the value
of Singapore paper swaps for November as of Tuesday.
LSWR:
FOB
Indonesia mixed/cracked LSWR prices shed $1.00/bbl on Tuesday, reflecting a
dive in the US crude futures on NYMEX. The Pertamina
Pricing Formula, or PPF, which market players expected to be applied for
loading Nov 18-28, would be at $39.95/bbl, down $1.00/bbl from a day earlier.
Premiums to PPF were in the range of $0.90-1.20/bbl, little changed from
Monday. The spot trade was underpinned by news that Oct-lifting LSWR sold out.
A leading Italian power company reportedly purchased 400,000-600,000bbl of FOB
Indonesia mixed/cracked LSWR for late-Oct loading. With the purchase, it was
likely that most of 2.2-mil bbl of mixed/cracked LSWR earmarked for export for
Oct was done. Meantime, as of Tuesday evening in Singapore, Pertamina
was reportedly planning to export a total of 2.25-mil bbl of mixed/cracked and
straight-run LSWR combined for Nov. Of the total, FOB Balikpapan
mixed/cracked LSWR accounted for 1.8-mil bbl, and FOB Dumai
mixed/cracked LSWR accounted for 200,000bbl, while shipments from storage
facilities in Sungai Pakning
accounted for 250,000bbl. Shipment from Dumai was
likely to increase, though, if the breakdown of a secondary unit at the
refinery lasted longer than expected. Differentials expressed in bids and offers
would translate into a fixed price of $40.95-41.05/bbl based on the expected
Pertain Pricing Formula as of Tuesday.
FUEL OIL:
FOB
Singapore prices for 180cst fuel oil sank on Tuesday, in tandem with a loss in
paper swaps values. The November swaps contract was valued at $207/mt, down
$5.00/mt from Monday. Buying and selling ideas for the loading period between Nov 8-23 were indicated at a discount of 50cts/mt to
a premium of 50cts/mt FOB Singapore over spot quotations, flat from Monday.
Market players expected low inventories in China would support premiums fuel
oil's premiums in the current range or above in the short term. The
differentials expressed in bids and offers for 180cst fuel oil would translate
into a fixed price of $206.50-207.50/mt, down $5.00/mt from Monday, based on
the value of Singapore paper swaps that were available as of 6:30 PM Tokyo time
on Tuesday.
FOB
South Korea prices for MR-size cargoes of 3.5% sulfur fuel oil plunged on
Tuesday, dragged down by a decline in Singapore paper swaps values. Buying and
selling ideas were indicated at premiums in the range of $7.50-8.50/mt FOB
South Korea over FOB Singapore quotations, unchanged from Monday. The fuel oil
market in South Korea came to a halt on Tuesday. South Korean refiners already
sold out planned cargoes of high-sulfur fuel oil for loading in November. The
differentials expressed in bids and offers for loading between
Nov 13-28 would translate into a fixed price of $214.50-215.50/mt, down
$5.00/mt from Monday, based on the value of Singapore paper swaps for November
as of Tuesday.
FOB
South Korea premiums for MR-size cargoes of 0.3% sulfur fuel oil were indicated
on Tuesday in the range of $52.50-57.50/mt over FOB Singapore quotations
(180cst), up $10/mt from Monday. The increase in spot premiums was led by
looming tight supply sentiment in North East Asia. SK Corp sold one MR-size
cargo and one SR-size cargo of 0.3% sulfur fuel oil for November loading on a
spot basis. The former cargo was concluded at a premium of more than $55/mt FOB
South Korea and the latter cargo at a premium of slightly less than $60/mt FOB
South Korea. Market players expected these cargoes would be destined to Japan.
CFR
South China premiums for MR-size cargoes of 3.5% sulfur fuel were indicated on
Tuesday in the range of $12-13/mt over FOB Singapore quotations, flat from
Monday. In the Guangdong province, Huangpu waterborne
prices for high-sulfur fuel edged up to the range of Yuan 2,330-2,350/mt on
Tuesday, up Yuan 10/mt from Monday. Market players pointed out tight prompt
availability helped boost prices. Meanwhile, the January fuel oil swaps
contract prices on the Shanghai futures exchange ended at Yuan 2,177/mt on
Tuesday, down Yuan 92/mt from Monday.
Correction: In the Oct 13, 14, 15 & 18 editions,
180cst fuel oil's spot premiums on an FOB Singapore basis should have read
"in the range of a discount of 50cts/mt to a premium of 50cts/mt FOB
Singapore over spot quotations" instead of "at premiums in the range
of $0.50-1.50/mt FOB Singapore over spot quotations" as sent. We apologize
for the errors.
ASIA BUNKER MARKET COMMENTARY
JAPAN:
The
bunker fuel market in Japan leveled off on Tuesday with prices for 380cst in
the range of $237-238/mt in Keihin and Hanshin, and the range of $244-245/mt in
Chukyo. Tightness in prompt supply offset the crude oil market's plunge. Spot
demand saw a slowdown. Many shipowners refrained from
covering their requirements, on the belief that a weaker crude oil market would
hammer down bunker prices in the near term. Spot inquiries were placed to seek
one lot each for delivery in Yokohama, Imabari and Yokkaichi. Offers for 500mt or larger lots of 380cst were
heard in the range of $237-240/mt in Keihin and Hanshin, and the range of
$246-249/mt in Chukyo. On Monday, one small lot of 180cst in Chukyo was heard
traded around $250/mt and one parcel of 180cst in Sasebo at $242/mt.
SOUTH KOREA:
Prices
for 380cst bunker fuel in South Korea eased on Tuesday by $2.50/mt to the range
of $230-232/mt, reflecting the crude oil market's weakness. South Korean
refiners asked 380cst in the range of $230-233/mt. But supply tightness
remained unabated as several South Korean refiners refrained from accepting
fresh orders due to low inventories. South Korean refiners received a combined 11,000mt
or so in inquiries as of 18:00 Seoul time on Tuesday, down 3,000mt from Monday.
SINGAPORE:
Prices
for 380cst bunker fuel in Singapore dropped on Tuesday by $4.50/mt to the range
of $199-202/mt, in line with a fall in local fuel oil cargo values. Offers for
380cst were made by oil majors in the range of $202-204/mt, compared with the
range of $199-202/mt asked by independent suppliers. One lot of 380cst was
heard traded at $201/mt. A combined 6,000mt or so was sought in inquiries on
Tuesday, down 1,000mt from Monday.
ASIA PRODUCT TRANSACTIONS
Date
Product Quantity Seller Buyer Price($) Basis Timing
--GASOLINE
10/19 92RON MR Wepec ?
Spr92flat
FOB Dalian 11/11-20
--NAPHTHA
10/19 O/S MR Glencore Sietco 456.00
CFR FE
12/16-31
10/19 H1/H2 Dec Spread: trader/trader at minus 2.00
--GASOIL
10/19 0.5%S MR SK ?
Spr-0.70 FOB Ulsan
11/1-15
--FUEL OIL
10/19 0.3%S MR SK ? Spr180cst+above55 FOB Ulsan 11/1-30
10/19 0.3%S SR SK ? Spr180cst+below60 FOB Ulsan 11/1-30
MARKET NEWS
--S Korea crude throughput at 2.40-mil b/d, up 2.6% on
week
Combined crude oil throughput in South Korea on Oct 19 was at 2.40-mil
b/d, up 2.6% from a week before, according to a RIM survey of refiners'
operating rates on Tuesday. South Korea has a total refining capacity of
2.44-mil b/d. Utilization of refining capacity was at 98.4%, up 2.4% points
from a week earlier (SEE TABLE BELOW).
SK
LG-Caltex S-Oil Hyundai Incheon
Capacity (kbd) 810 600
443
310
275
Operation rate (pct)
average
10/19/04 101.2 103.3 124.2 100.0 36.4 98.4
10/12/04
93.8
103.3
124.2
100.0
36.4 96.0
10/05/04
93.8
103.3
124.2
100.0
36.4 96.0
09/21/04
92.6
103.3
121.9
90.3 23.6 92.5
--S Korea SK Corp lifts Ulsan
crude runs 7.9% on week to 820,000b/d
South
Korea's SK Corp lifted crude throughput at its 810,000b/d Ulsan
refinery to 820,000b/d or 101.2% capacity starting early this week, up 7.9%
from a week before, a company source said Tuesday. The decision came as SK Corp
is poised to beef up kerosene production ahead of the peak-demand winter
season. The move was also backed by wide refining margins for middle
distillates.
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